The watchman fell asleep: the surprise of Yom Kippur and its by Uri Bar-Joseph PDF

By Uri Bar-Joseph

ISBN-10: 0791464814

ISBN-13: 9780791464816

ISBN-10: 0791464822

ISBN-13: 9780791464823

Examines how Israel used to be stuck without notice within the commencing phases of the 1973 Yom Kippur War.

Based on many previously undisclosed intelligence and armed forces records, the key protocols of discussions at the eve of the struggle, and interviews with suitable figures, The Watchman Fell Asleep is a compelling account of Israel’s intelligence failure ahead of the 1973 Arab assault referred to as the Yom Kippur conflict. The Hebrew model of this e-book was once provided the Tshetshik Prize for Strategic experiences on Israel’s protection in 2001, and the Israeli Political technological know-how Association’s most sensible booklet Award in 2002. to be had the following in English for the 1st time, Uri Bar-Joseph has crafted an authoritative rationalization of the main nerve-racking occasion in Israel’s stormy background and one of many largest strategic army surprises of the 20th century.

Uri Bar-Joseph is Professor of diplomacy at Haifa college. he's the writer of Intelligence Intervention within the Politics of Democratic States: the USA, Israel, and Britain and the simplest of Enemies: Israel and Transjordan within the warfare of 1948.

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10 The IDF war conception was based on the assumption that the next war’s goals would be two: preventing any Egyptian achievement, and reaching a cease-fire as soon as possible. But, in contrast to the prolonged War of Attrition, the IDF High Command estimated that a quick and decisive victory was now feasible due to the emergence of four new factors: the fragility of Sadat’s political stature that would make it difficult for him to withstand heavy military pressure for a long period of time; lack of Soviet interest in a new war and, hence, a more limited readiness on the part of the Kremlin to provide Egypt with military and political support; greater American support for the use of massive power by the IDF, especially if Egypt initiated the war; and the strengthening of the IDF’s power, especially in the air, which enabled a wider freedom of action vis-à-vis the Egyptian army.

31 iv. Assessment of the Egyptian Deception The end result of the Egyptian deception plan is clear. As Zeevi, a highly prominent student of this subject, put it, “The strategic surprise that the Egyptian forces achieved as a result of the deception plan drastically changed the balance of forces in the front during the first days of the war. ” But it is still questionable whether this outcome was the product of the high quality of the plan and its performance, or of poor performance on the Israeli side.

The likelihood that it would penetrate Israel’s airdefense system was rather low. On the other hand, its cheap cost and the fact that it needed no pilot made it a rather attractive option. The second possible deterrent system was the Scud B (SS-1B) surface-to-surface missile with a range of 280 kilometers. 36 The Soviets were reluctant to sell the Egyptians such systems, mainly for political considerations. ”37 Egypt had first requested the Kelt and the Scud-B systems during Sadat’s visit to Moscow in March 1971.

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The watchman fell asleep: the surprise of Yom Kippur and its sources by Uri Bar-Joseph

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