New PDF release: The Swing Voter in American Politics

By William G. Mayer

ISBN-10: 0815755309

ISBN-13: 9780815755302

ISBN-10: 0815755325

ISBN-13: 9780815755326

"Swing citizens" occupy a critical position in American political lore. applicants courtroom them, experts objective them, and pundits speculate always on which method they're going to lean. yet no one has thoroughly outlined them as a gaggle. What precisely is a swing voter? nobody particularly turns out to understand. The Swing Voter in American Politics fills this conceptual hole by means of bringing political scientists and pollsters jointly to reply to 4 simple questions: what's a swing voter? How can analysts use survey information to spot them? How do swing citizens differ-if at all-from the remainder of the citizens? And what function do they play in opting for the results of latest elections? Drawing on a variety of resources, together with American nationwide Election reports information, Gallup polls, Pew heart surveys, and the nationwide Annenberg Election Survey, the authors tune swing citizens throughout six many years and in nationwide and native elections. the result's an remarkable photograph of this key political staff. participants: James E. Campbell (University at Buffalo), April Clark (Pew examine middle for the folk and the Press), Adam Clymer (Annenberg Public coverage middle, collage of Pennsylvania), Michael Dimock (Pew study heart for the folks and the Press), Juliana Menasce Horowitz (Pew examine heart for the folks and the Press), Jeffrey M. Jones (Gallup Organization), Daron R. Shaw (University of Texas-Austin), Jeffrey M. Stonecash (Syracuse University), Ruy Teixeira (Center for American growth and The Century Foundation), Ken Winneg (Annenberg Public coverage middle, collage of Pennsylvania).

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Smith, E. R. 1989. The Unchanging American Voter. University of California Press. Weisberg, H. , and J. G. Rusk. 1970. ” American Political Science Review 64: 1167–85. Zaller, J. 2004. S. ” In Studies in Public Opinion: Attitudes, Nonattitudes, Measurement Error, and Change, edited by William E. Saris and Paul M. Sniderman, pp. 166–212. Princeton University Press. 02-5531-9 CH 2 11/29/07 2:00 PM Page 32 two Swing Voters in the Gallup Poll, 1944 to 2004 Jeffrey M. Jones G eorge Gallup was a pioneer in the field of public opinion research.

17 When compared to the supporters of major-party candidates, the undecided vote also appears to be unusually fluid. Large numbers of voters drift into and out of the undecided category throughout the general election campaign. In a panel study of the 1972 presidential campaign in the Syracuse, New York, area conducted by Thomas Patterson and Robert McClure, 13 percent of the respondents were classified as undecided in a September survey, as compared to 11 percent undecided in the October wave.

23 Given what has been said earlier, however, about the problematic character of Kelley’s method of identifying marginal voters—particularly the fact that it may also serve as a measure of political sophistication—the whole matter is clearly worth revisiting. Accordingly, I have compared swing voters and nonswing voters on a variety of measures of political interest, involvement, and information. As it turns out, using the thermometer ratings rather than the likes-and-dislikes questions does make some difference.

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The Swing Voter in American Politics by William G. Mayer

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