Download PDF by William G. Mayer: The Front-Loading Problem in Presidential Nominations

By William G. Mayer

ISBN-10: 0815755201

ISBN-13: 9780815755203

Front-loading has emerged in numerous US election cycles and is the one so much criticized characteristic of the yank presidential choice strategy. the place nation primaries and caucuses have been as soon as opened up over a interval of 3 or 4 months, so much at the moment are stuffed right into a 4- or five-week period on the very starting of the delegate choice calendar. The process that effects has been known as "absurdly accelerated", "dangerously irrational", "warped and almost senseless" and a "parody of participatory democracy". this article addresses the front-loading challenge, delivering a accomplished exam of the total factor: what front-loading is, while and why it built, and its outcomes for the nomination approach as a complete. It additionally offers a close research of the most important proposals for dealing with front-loading and of the political and constitutional hindrances to reform. whereas the e-book concludes that there's no effortless ideas to this advanced challenge, it identifies a basic path for reform efforts and urges that the political events take delivery of the primary accountability for enacting and enforcing those adjustments.

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At a minimum, this decision will almost certainly increase the level of front-loading in the Democratic calendar. In 2000 the six states that held Republican primaries between February 1 and March 7 either held no Democratic primary or held a purely advisory one (that is, one that played no role in delegate selection). 40 More important, a lot of states were discouraged from holding their primaries in February because of the prohibition in the Democratic rules. The state of California, in particular, was determined in 2000 to vote at the earliest feasible date, before either party’s race was settled.

The Iowa caucuses were held about January 20, with the New Hampshire primary coming on the final Tuesday in February. This, of course, further stretched out the beginning of the presidential selection process. 37 Beginning in the rise of front-loading Table 2-6 21 Calendar of First-Round Democratic Caucuses, 1976–2000 Number of Caucuses Time period January 16–31 February 1–15 February 16–29 March 1–15 March 16–31 April 1–15 April 16–30 May 1–15 May 16–31 June 1–15 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2 3 2 3 0 2 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 8 1 1 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 8 10 2 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 8 3 1 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 12 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 4 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 9 3 1 0 1 0 0 1984, however, the national Democratic Party forced Iowa to move its caucuses to late February, just eight days before the New Hampshire primary.

Results for 1992 are taken from Gallup surveys of January 31–February 2 and February 19–20, 1992, and are based on the responses of registered voters who identified with the Democratic and Republican Parties, respectively. Results for 1996 are taken from Gallup surveys of January 26–29 and February 23–25, 1996, and are based on the responses of registered voters who identified with the Republican Party. Results for 2000 are taken from Gallup surveys of January 17–19, January 25–26, and February 4–6, 2000, and are based on the responses of registered voters who identified with the Democratic and Republican Parties, respectively.

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The Front-Loading Problem in Presidential Nominations by William G. Mayer

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