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Questions, and comparing the results of policy options. Technical analysis and modelling, using starting parameters 30 J. Ravetz et al. and decision rules based on these scenarios, can be combined with broader exploration of possibilities in terms of social, economic, cultural and political change. Technical modelling forecasts are useful but never good enough to describe complex environmental, economic or human problems fully. Scenarios are not new tools – they are used all the time to test how policies or plans could deal with sudden unforeseen emergencies of all types.

The other axis in the scheme focuses on the political-economic aspects of public versus private sector, and the tension between public policy and market processes. Such questions are crucial for the future of the peri-urban space, where governance is often fragmented and where coordination across boundaries can be more difficult. The diverse land uses each compete for space, access and investment and the line between public and private objectives is closely debated. 4 Complexity, Transition, Resilience Each of the above factors – urban expansion, regional agglomeration, and structural effects – can work in combination, with many feedback loops between them, amplifying the processes of change.

J Am Inst Planners 31(4):312–320 Gallent N, Andersson J, Bianconi M (2006) Planning on the edge: the context for planning at the rural–urban fringe. Routledge, Abingdon Galster G, Hanson R, Ratcliffe M, Wolman H, Coleman S, Freihage J (2001) Wrestling sprawl to the ground. Defining and measuring an elusive concept. Hous Policy Debate 12(4):681–717 Garreau J (1991) Edge city: life on the new frontier. Doubleday, New York Geels FW (2005) Technological transitions and system innovation: a coevolutionary and sociotechnical analysis.

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Olympic Technology by John Lockyer

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