By Thomas M. Carsey
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Extra info for Campaign Dynamics: The Race for Governor
Either these variables and weights do not exist, or they have yet to be discovered. It may also be that the learning achieved in presidential elections is not achieved at subpresidential levels, a situation complicated by the lack of exact equality in financial resources and expertise among candidates running i subpresidential races. These issues are explored in later chapters, particularly in the discussion of the 1993 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey. Finally, for the eleven presidential elections studied by Gelman and King (1993), aggregating across a series of variables does produce a mean level of importance for each of them.
I subscribed to the Richmond Times-Dispatch from June 1 through the election and to theTrentonian from August 1 through late November. ). I also received a number of mailings from the campaigns. This information allowed me to track the daily proceedings of both campaigns and provided background information for interview questions. The personal interviews I conducted with members of each candidate’ s campaign staff, political reporters, state party of ficials, and campaign volun teers are a critical part of this portion of the analysis.
Campaigns also provide information (Alvarez 1997), both directly and through opinion leaders (Converse 1990), that informs voters’ decisions. In other words, sociodemographics, social interaction, and the campaign itself all contribute to the informational context of the election. Finally, even in an issue space that theoretically has an infinite number o dimensions, the cognitive limitations of voters and their desire to simplify the voting calculus suggest that candidates could expect success in producing heresthetic change regarding only one or a few specific dimensions for any on election (Popkin 1991; Hinich and Munger 1994).
Campaign Dynamics: The Race for Governor by Thomas M. Carsey